Once upon a time, there was a Chinese farmer who lost a horse. Ran away. And all the neighbors came around that evening and said that’s too bad. And he said maybe. The next day the horse came back and brought seven wild horses with it. And all the neighbors came around and said, why that’s great, isn’t it. And he said maybe. The next day his son was attempting to tame one of these horses and was riding it and was thrown and broke his leg. And all the neighbors came round in the evening and said, well that’s too bad isn’t it. And the farmer said maybe. And the next day the conscription officers came around looking for people for the army. And they rejected his son because he had a broken leg. And all the neighbors came round that evening and said, isn’t that wonderful. And he said maybe. The whole process of nature is an integrated process of immense complexity. And it is really impossible to tell whether anything that happens in it is good or bad because you never know what will be the consequences of the misfortune, or you never know what will be the consequences of good fortune.